Volume 2 • Issue 2March 2009

Let's Explore!

A key role that ALG agents and brokers play is that of valuation consultant. Many of our clients often ask for our opinions on an array of topics concerning their real estate asset. As we wrap-up the first quarter of 2009, many of you ask: How much is my property worth given today's economic climate? If I lower the price will it help sell my property faster? How can I get a better price? I am considering selling my property can you analyze the market for me? The list of questions concerning value is endless. The client can anticipate a BOV (Broker Opinion of Value) as the preliminary step in the evaluation process.

In our constant quest to stay informed, we invited Dennis Carr, MAI of Carr, Lawson, Cantrell & Associates, Inc., a real estate appraisal and consulting firm, to our office to give a presentation on what is transpiring in the appraisal market of real property. Appraisers report value. They do not make value. It was defined appropriately that current value is the "present worth of future benefits"! In today's economic climate determining value has been difficult to ascertain due to the inability to use recent historical data as a measure of value. Currently most agents and brokers are going back approximately 6 months for comparable property information for the very reason that market data a year old does not support nor represent the current market value.

Dennis Carr stated, "Transactions are down and most of the appraisal work being conducted is with troubled assets of which 90% are residential in nature. The investor is the entity that is most likely to buy these troubled assets; therefore, a discount value is offered to allow for another layer of profit". The investor will purchase and hold the property for some time and then sell to developers at a profit at which point the new wave of builders will construct and sell for a profit. Properties that generate an income stream provide value that is quantifiable. Often we hear reference to cap rates for certain properties because this represents information about the value for an income producing property. Determining property value has not changed in methodology; however, some of the assumptions, such as the age of the comp data, should be scrutinized in greater detail. Agents with a greater depth of knowledge for a given market area are better equipped to understand what your property has to offer and how that information translates to value.

Current ALG Opportunities:righttop redliner
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Latest Figures:righttop redliner ALG agents were in attendance for the Databank 2009 Real Estate Symposium held Thursday, February 5th at the
Cobb Galleria Centre. We compared our notes and some that were of interest to us are:
  • More life insurance money and private equity is coming into the market; Interim & permanent debt money is still available it just has tighter criteria
  • Seller financing is an option and is seen as a positive to facilitate transactions
  • Ten year supply of retail space – Atlanta currently has surplus square foot retail space per capita – Owners need to be creative – Some creative re-use for big boxes are schools, churches, hospitals, clinics, etc.
  • Older properties may have some entitlements and zoning rights that have undiscovered value
  • Cities of interest outside of the Atlanta market are Memphis, Charlotte and Jacksonville – Interstate 85 between Charlotte and Atlanta is considered a premier corridor for new development
  • Concessions are rampant in the office market – Buckhead office market in Atlanta is of concern
  • Leading economic indicator is what we actually sell – not GDP which is produced – down 5% for the 4th quarter of 2008
  • Purchasing Managers' Index provides a truer picture of the retail health of our economy – Currently the index is below 50 which indicates we are in a recession
  • Atlanta has seen a decline in home values of 15%, although not nearly as detrimental as in Phoenix, Las Vegas and Miami, which have experienced depreciation of value up to 40% - The national average is a 24% decline of value
  • Retail growth for 2009 is unlikely. However, smart retailers will take advantage of today's lower prices when positioning for 2010 and beyond!
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